Lately, I’ve been thinking a lot about disruptive technologies & exponential growth. Over the course of past few weeks, discussions have been abound between fellow bloggers Jay from FI Fighter, Bryan from Income Surfer, and yours truly discussing investment themes. In trying to identify good investing options, we keep directing our focus towards technology and its disruptive nature. It is no secret that the ‘green’ movement is not a niche anymore and is now mainstream.
Jay from FI Fighter recently posted this article: Disruptive Technology – Always Underestimated, which I highly recommend readers to read and follow the thought process and also follow up on the links posted (there’s a lot there). It presents a great picture of how things are changing. Fast.
We humans are terrible at understanding exponential growth. Due to the way we evolved, we humans always think in linear terms or incremental changes. We don’t expect things to change fast and almost always get the timelines wrong. Even the ‘green’-oriented media gets most timelines wrong. When making predictions, they always predict that things will look better for the solar and renewable energy space by 2040 or 2050. That timeline is completely off-base. When you truly understand exponential growth, you realize that its going to come much faster than that.