More sales in our portfolio as I try to save our hard earned capital instead of being blasé about it. Whether now is a good time to sell after stocks have fallen more than 20-30% from their all time highs is debatable. But having an anchoring bias to an all-time high prices & valuation is exactly the reason why I see some investors trapped and not accepting the reality.
On the coattails of a gold rally in June, I reached a 5x return on my largest holding: Kirkland Lake Gold (KL.TO). This company has been a home run for me. I’d be lying if I said that it was all skill and no luck on this investment call. I was lucky and took a risk that paid off handsomely.
The following annotation shows all my purchases and one sale in KL.
As mentioned, I was lucky enough to come across this company early and followed Eric Sprott into this investment by first purchasing Newmarket Mining in October 2016. It was announced that Newmarket would merge with Kirkland Lake Gold to form a new mid-tier gold producer. Of course, at the time there were plenty of risks and uncertainties.
Further details of the transactions including all the ‘Recent Buy’ posts are linked below:
With all the purchases listed, my average share price was $10.97. I was able to achieve a CAGR of 84.3% (so far)!
Kirkland Lake continues to be a great performer and perhaps the best run company in the mining space. It continues to execute flawlessly de-risking projects and allocating capital appropriately (buybacks, dividends etc). KL has also been investing strategically to replenish its resources. My conviction in KL still remains high and the only reason for selling earlier this year was to reduce the weightage & concentration of one stock in my portfolio. I intend to let this holding free-ride and look forward to continued gains over the coming years.
Hopefully someday this will be a 10-bagger for me 🙂
My first sale of 2019. Sales are always hard, especially when times are good and everything seems to be going well for the investment in question. Personally, I have a harder time timing the sales than timing the purchases. When things are rosy, we tend to feel that the good times will continue forever.
Human psyche & investing seem to always fight each other on this front. We buy/invest when we feel good and sell when we are depressed about our investment picks. This sale has been especially hard for me as it has been my best investment to date.
Here’s a quick update on a few sales in my portfolio. Sales are always hard, especially when times are good and investors are riding the coattails of one of the best performing bull markets in modern times. When things are rosy, we tend to feel that the good times will continue forever. The world has been awash in liquidity for a decade investors have been awarded for taking more risk.
Hard to ignore some crazy cheap valuations in the precious metals mining sector. Last week, I nibbled a bit and added more to my already largest position in portfolio. I added 100 shares of Kirkland Lake Gold(KL.TO) @ CAD$23.00. I have been buying KL (and its pre-merger Newmarket Gold) for a while now. The company has been one of the best performing stocks in TSX (and my portfolio) and executing even better than expected. Management continues to make fantastic progress with their revenue and earnings quarter after quarter, started issuing dividends last year (and has tripled them since!), news flow has been stellar every few months where higher/better/richer resources discovered in their existing mines. It’s hard to find a fault with this company.
Lately, the company has come under selling pressure and was a head scratcher for everyone. Finally, it was revealed last week that Van Eck (the ETF company) was dropping KL from its junior index (GDXJ) and promoting it to the senior index (GDX). GDXJ’s top holding was KL and this explained why there was so much selling over the past few weeks. It was also announced that Sep 21 would be the final day of selling out from GDXJ. When the market provides you fat pitches, you have to swing! I decided to wait until this window was closing and added to my position on the last day of selling. It has also been noted that insiders have started buying below CAD$25.00, so I think it provides good valuation at the current price. Current yield is close to 0.5% and with this purchase, I add $12 to my forward dividend income.
Full Disclosure: Long KL.TO. Our full list of holdings is available here.